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FTMatchday 3

Villarreal vs Manchester City: Prediction

📍 Estadio de la Cerámica

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
VillarrealManchester City
  1. Alfonso Pedrazayellow card11'
  2. 17'Erling Haalandassist Rico Lewis
  3. 22'Bernardo Silvayellow card
  4. 40'Bernardo Silvaassist Savinho
  5. Santiago Mouriñoyellow card45'
  6. Alfonso Pedrazaon46'
  7. 57'Nico Gonzálezon
  8. 65'Ruben Diasyellow card
  9. Georges Mikautadzeon66'
  10. Tajon Buchananon66'
  11. Santi Comesañaon72'
  12. 72'Jérémy Dokuon
  13. 73'Rico Lewison
  14. Pape Gueyeyellow card75'
  15. Pape Gueyeon81'
  16. Alberto Moleiroyellow card85'
  17. 86'Erling Haalandon
  18. 86'Savinhoon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

VillarrealManchester City
  • 34%Possession66%
  • 1Expected goals (xG)1
  • 11Shots10
  • 2Shots on target6
  • 1Corners3
  • 17Fouls15
  • 4Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 0Offsides0
  • 4Saves2
  • 335Passes672

Line-ups

Villarreal

  • 16Thomas Partey
  • 8Juan Marcos Foyth
  • 24Alfonso Pedraza
  • 19Nicolas Pépé
  • 17Tajon Buchanan
  • 18Pape Gueye
  • 14Santi Comesaña
  • 1Luiz Júnior
  • 12Renato Veiga
  • 15Santiago Mouriño
  • 9Georges Mikautadze

Manchester City

  • 5John Stones
  • 20Bernardo Silva
  • 25Gianluigi Donnarumma
  • 3Ruben Dias
  • 9Erling Haaland
  • 11Jérémy Doku
  • 24Joško Gvardiol
  • 27Matheus Nunes
  • 14Nico González
  • 82Rico Lewis
  • 26Savinho

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1450 – 1535

Recent form

VillarrealWWDLD
Manchester CityWWDWW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Villarreal host Manchester City in the UEFA Champions League on 21 October 2025. Villarreal sit 34th on 1 points and Manchester City are 9th on 10. Villarreal have won 2 of their last 5 (WWDLD), while Manchester City have won 4 of 5 (WWDWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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