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Kick-off · Matchday 5

Galatasaray vs Aston Villa: Prediction

Galatasaray
40%Home win
Aston Villa

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.54 – 1.46
Team rating (Elo)1493 – 1541

Recent form

GalatasarayWLLLW
Aston VillaDWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
2Galatasaray3-33

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Galatasaray host Aston Villa in the UEFA Champions League on 24 November 2026. Galatasaray sit 56th on 3 points and Aston Villa are 7th on 9. Galatasaray have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLLW), while Aston Villa have won 4 of 5 (DWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Galatasaray 40%, the draw 24% and Aston Villa 36%, so Galatasaray are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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