Manchester City vs Napoli: Prediction
Manchester City
NapoliTipster consensus
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| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
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Head to head
- Manchester City 2–0 Napoli2025-09-18
Match preview
Manchester City host Napoli in the UEFA Champions League on 24 November 2026. Manchester City sit 25th on 6 points and Napoli are 51st on 3. Manchester City have won 2 of their last 5 (LWWLL), while Napoli have won 2 of 5 (LLWDW). In their last 1 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Napoli won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Manchester City 55%, the draw 22% and Napoli 23%, so Manchester City are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.