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Kick-off · Matchday 13

Udinese vs Fiorentina: Prediction

Udinese
39%Home win
Fiorentina

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.39 – 1.31
Team rating (Elo)1416 – 1464

Recent form

UdineseLLLDL
FiorentinaDLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Fiorentina8-75
2Udinese9-132

Head to head

  • Udinese 3–0 Fiorentina2026-03-02
  • Fiorentina 5–1 Udinese2025-12-21

Match preview

Udinese host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 29 November 2026. Udinese sit 20th on 2 points and Fiorentina are 16th on 5. Udinese have won 0 of their last 5 (LLLDL), while Fiorentina have won 0 of 5 (DLLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Udinese won 1, Fiorentina won 1 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Udinese 39%, the draw 26% and Fiorentina 35%, so Udinese are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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