Kick-off · Sun, 1 Nov, 07:30 pm ISTMatchday 10
Lazio vs Cagliari: Prediction
Lazio61%Home win
Cagliari61% Home win22% Draw17% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-0
Expected goals (model)1.96 – 0.93
Team rating (Elo)1588 – 1473
Recent form
LazioWWWWWCagliariWDLLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | +14 | 22 |
| 2 | Cagliari | 8 | -4 | 13 |
Head to head
- Cagliari 0–0 Lazio2026-02-21
- Lazio 2–0 Cagliari2025-11-03
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
