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FTMatchday 5

Tottenham Hotspur vs Aston Villa: Prediction

Tottenham Hotspur2
FT
Aston Villa3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
Tottenham HotspurAston Villa
  1. Pedro Porroon19'
  2. 45'Johan Manzambiassist Boubacar Kamara
  3. Jan Paul van Heckeyellow card45'
  4. 45'Aaron Wan-Bissakaon
  5. Mateus Fernandeson45'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1474 – 1519

Recent form

Tottenham HotspurWLLDD
Aston VillaLLDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Tottenham Hotspur9012
2Aston Villa9-312

Head to head

  • Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur2026-05-03
  • Tottenham Hotspur 1–2 Aston Villa2025-10-19

Match preview

Tottenham Hotspur host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 19 September 2026. Tottenham Hotspur sit 8th on 12 points and Aston Villa are 9th on 12. Tottenham Hotspur have won 1 of their last 5 (WLLDD), while Aston Villa have won 1 of 5 (LLDWL). In their last 2 meetings, Tottenham Hotspur won 1, Aston Villa won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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