Kick-off · Sun, 1 Nov, 10:00 pm ISTMatchday 9
Liverpool vs Arsenal: Prediction
Liverpool42%Away win
Arsenal33% Home win25% Draw42% Away win
Tipster consensus · who picked what
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.30 – 1.50
Team rating (Elo)1553 – 1644
Recent form
LiverpoolLWWWWArsenalWWWDW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 8 | +8 | 21 |
| 2 | Liverpool | 8 | +3 | 15 |
Head to head
- Arsenal 0–0 Liverpool2026-01-08
- Liverpool 1–0 Arsenal2025-08-31
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
