Kick-off · Tue, 3 Nov, 01:30 am ISTMatchday 9
Newcastle United vs Everton: Prediction
Newcastle United47%Home win
Everton47% Home win25% Draw28% Away win
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.62 – 1.21
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1482
Recent form
Newcastle UnitedLWLLWEvertonDWDLL| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 2 | Everton | 8 | -1 | 10 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 2–3 Everton2026-02-28
- Everton 1–4 Newcastle United2025-11-29
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The read is frozen at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
