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FTMatchday 38

Sunderland vs Chelsea: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1524

Recent form

SunderlandLLDDW
ChelseaLLLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Sunderland38-654
2Chelsea38+652

Head to head

  • Chelsea 1–2 Sunderland2025-10-25

Match preview

Sunderland host Chelsea in the Premier League on 24 May 2026. Sunderland sit 7th on 54 points and Chelsea are 10th on 52. Sunderland have won 1 of their last 5 (LLDDW), while Chelsea have won 1 of 5 (LLLDW). In their last 1 meetings, Sunderland won 1, Chelsea won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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