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FTMatchday 4

Sunderland vs Arsenal: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
SunderlandArsenal
  1. Reinildo Mandavayellow card28'
  2. 39'Reinildo Mandavayellow card
  3. 45'Ben Whiteon
  4. 45'Myles Lewis-Skellyon
  5. Enzo Le Féepenalty56'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1498 – 1532

Recent form

SunderlandWWLWD
ArsenalWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Arsenal8+821
2Sunderland9-105

Head to head

  • Arsenal 3–0 Sunderland2026-02-07
  • Sunderland 2–2 Arsenal2025-11-08

Match preview

Sunderland host Arsenal in the Premier League on 12 September 2026. Sunderland sit 20th on 5 points and Arsenal are 2nd on 21. Sunderland have won 3 of their last 5 (WWLWD), while Arsenal have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Sunderland won 0, Arsenal won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming