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Kick-off · Matchday 13

Sassuolo vs Napoli: Prediction

Sassuolo
48%Away win
Napoli

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.14 – 1.60
Team rating (Elo)1453 – 1480

Recent form

SassuoloLDLLL
NapoliLLWDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli8+714
2Sassuolo8-95

Head to head

  • Napoli 1–0 Sassuolo2026-01-17
  • Sassuolo 0–2 Napoli2025-08-23

Match preview

Sassuolo host Napoli in the Serie A on 29 November 2026. Sassuolo sit 18th on 5 points and Napoli are 6th on 14. Sassuolo have won 0 of their last 5 (LDLLL), while Napoli have won 2 of 5 (LLWDW). In their last 2 meetings, Sassuolo won 0, Napoli won 2 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Sassuolo 27%, the draw 25% and Napoli 48%, so Napoli are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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