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FTMatchday 37

Sassuolo vs Lecce: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1453 – 1442

Recent form

SassuoloLWDWL
LecceLDDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Sassuolo35-248
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Lecce 0–0 Sassuolo2025-10-18

Match preview

Sassuolo host Lecce in the Serie A on 17 May 2026. Sassuolo sit 9th on 48 points and Lecce are 17th on 32. Sassuolo have won 2 of their last 5 (LWDWL), while Lecce have won 1 of 5 (LDDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Sassuolo won 0, Lecce won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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