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Kick-off · Matchday 13

Roma vs Monza: Prediction

Roma
67%Home win
Monza

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.13 – 0.85
Team rating (Elo)1508 – 1467

Recent form

RomaWWDWW
MonzaLWLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma9+1421
2Monza9-67

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Roma host Monza in the Serie A on 29 November 2026. Roma sit 3rd on 21 points and Monza are 15th on 7. Roma have won 4 of their last 5 (WWDWW), while Monza have won 1 of 5 (LWLLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. TipKhel's model gives Roma 67%, the draw 19% and Monza 14%, so Roma are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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