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FTMatchday 37

Roma vs Lazio: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1508 – 1588

Recent form

RomaWDWWW
LazioLWDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma35+2767
2Lazio35-545

Head to head

  • Lazio 0–1 Roma2025-09-21

Match preview

Roma host Lazio in the Serie A on 17 May 2026. Roma sit 4th on 67 points and Lazio are 10th on 45. Roma have won 4 of their last 5 (WDWWW), while Lazio have won 2 of 5 (LWDWL). In their last 1 meetings, Roma won 1, Lazio won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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