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FTMatchday 1

Roma vs Fiorentina: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1508 – 1464

Recent form

RomaWWWWW
FiorentinaDLDWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma9+1421
2Fiorentina8-75

Head to head

  • Roma 4–0 Fiorentina2026-05-04
  • Fiorentina 1–2 Roma2025-10-05

Match preview

Roma host Fiorentina in the Serie A on 24 August 2026. Roma sit 3rd on 21 points and Fiorentina are 16th on 5. Roma have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Fiorentina have won 1 of 5 (DLDWD). In their last 2 meetings, Roma won 2, Fiorentina won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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