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FTMatchday 3

Roma vs Atalanta: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1508 – 1515

Recent form

RomaWWWWW
AtalantaDWLDW
#TeamPGDPts
1Roma9+1421
2Atalanta8-28

Head to head

  • Roma 1–1 Atalanta2026-04-18
  • Atalanta 1–0 Roma2026-01-03

Match preview

Roma host Atalanta in the Serie A on 5 September 2026. Roma sit 3rd on 21 points and Atalanta are 14th on 8. Roma have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Atalanta have won 2 of 5 (DWLDW). In their last 2 meetings, Roma won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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