FTMatchday 3

Real Madrid vs Juventus: Prediction

📍 Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid1

Juventus0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal

Real MadridJuventus

Jude Bellingham57'
Brahimyellow card61'
62'Khéphren Thuramon
Arda Güleron74'
74'Kenan Yıldızon
74'Teun Koopmeinerson
75'Dušan Vlahovićon
Brahimon84'
Vinícius Júnioron84'
Raúl Asencioon88'
88'Andrea Cambiasoon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Real MadridJuventus

66%Possession34%
3Expected goals (xG)1
28Shots13
10Shots on target4
13Corners7
10Fouls17
1Yellow cards0
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
4Saves8
617Passes311

Line-ups

Real Madrid

1Thibaut Courtois
7Vinícius Júnior
21Brahim
10Kylian Mbappé
3Éder Militão
8Federico Valverde
14Aurelien Tchouameni
5Jude Bellingham
15Arda Güler
18Álvaro Carreras
17Raúl Asencio

Juventus

24Daniele Rugani
6Lloyd Kelly
22Weston McKennie
9Dušan Vlahović
8Teun Koopmeiners
15Pierre Kalulu
19Khéphren Thuram
27Andrea Cambiaso
16Michele Gregorio
4Federico Gatti
10Kenan Yıldız

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1567 – 1502

Recent form

Real MadridWLWWW

JuventusDDDDL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Real Madrid host Juventus in the UEFA Champions League on 22 October 2025. Real Madrid sit 5th on 12 points and Juventus are 22nd on 6. Real Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 (WLWWW), while Juventus have won 0 of 5 (DDDDL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.