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FTMatchday 5

Parma vs Genoa: Prediction

Parma2
FT
Genoa1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
ParmaGenoa
  1. 14'Sebastian Otoayellow card
  2. David Romeroassist El Bilal Toure38'
  3. 44'Alessandro Marcandalliyellow card
  4. El Bilal Toureon56'
  5. David Romeroon56'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1429 – 1461

Recent form

ParmaLWLDL
GenoaLLLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Genoa8-410
2Parma8-85

Head to head

  • Parma 0–0 Genoa2026-01-18
  • Genoa 0–0 Parma2025-10-19

Match preview

Parma host Genoa in the Serie A on 20 September 2026. Parma sit 17th on 5 points and Genoa are 12th on 10. Parma have won 1 of their last 5 (LWLDL), while Genoa have won 0 of 5 (LLLLD). In their last 2 meetings, Parma won 0, Genoa won 0 and 2 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming