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FTMatchday 1

Parma vs Cagliari: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1429 – 1473

Recent form

ParmaWLLLW
CagliariWDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Cagliari8-413
2Parma8-85

Head to head

  • Parma 1–1 Cagliari2026-02-27
  • Cagliari 2–0 Parma2025-09-13

Match preview

Parma host Cagliari in the Serie A on 22 August 2026. Parma sit 17th on 5 points and Cagliari are 10th on 13. Parma have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLLW), while Cagliari have won 3 of 5 (WDLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Parma won 0, Cagliari won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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