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FTMatchday 4

Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich: Prediction

📍 Parc des Princes

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals
Paris Saint-GermainBayern Munich
  1. 4'Luis Díazassist Michael Olise
  2. Ousmane Dembéléon25'
  3. 32'Luis Díaz
  4. 45'Luis Díazred card
  5. Achraf Hakimion45'
  6. 46'Serge Gnabryon
  7. 47'Tom Bischofyellow card
  8. 49'Manuel Neueryellow card
  9. Bradley Barcolaon66'
  10. Fabiánon66'
  11. João Nevesassist Lee Kang-in74'
  12. 81'Michael Oliseon
  13. Nuno Mendesyellow card84'
  14. 84'Josip Stanišićyellow card
  15. 88'Harry Kaneon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Paris Saint-GermainBayern Munich
  • 71%Possession29%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 25Shots9
  • 9Shots on target5
  • 9Corners1
  • 7Fouls9
  • 1Yellow cards3
  • 0Red cards1
  • 3Offsides3
  • 3Saves8
  • 700Passes295

Line-ups

Paris Saint-Germain

  • 5Marquinhos
  • 10Ousmane Dembélé
  • 2Achraf Hakimi
  • 8Fabián
  • 17Vitinha
  • 7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 25Nuno Mendes
  • 29Bradley Barcola
  • 51Willian Pacho
  • 30Lucas Chevalier
  • 33Warren Zaïre-Emery

Bayern Munich

  • 7Serge Gnabry
  • 9Harry Kane
  • 1Manuel Neuer
  • 4Jonathan Tah
  • 6Joshua Kimmich
  • 2Dayot Upamecano
  • 27Konrad Laimer
  • 14Luis Díaz
  • 17Michael Olise
  • 44Josip Stanišić
  • 45Aleksandar Pavlović

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1596 – 1561

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Paris Saint-GermainWDDWW
Bayern MunichWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain host Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2025. Paris Saint-Germain sit 2nd on 12 points and Bayern Munich are 3rd on 12. Paris Saint-Germain have won 3 of their last 5 (WDDWW), while Bayern Munich have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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