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FTMatchday 1

Paris Saint-Germain vs Atalanta: Prediction

📍 Parc des Princes

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals
Paris Saint-GermainAtalanta
  1. Marquinhosassist Fabián3'
  2. Khvicha Kvaratskheliaassist Achraf Hakimi39'
  3. Bradley Barcolapenalty44'
  4. 44'Yunus Musahyellow card
  5. 46'Daniel Maldinion
  6. 46'Charles De Ketelaereon
  7. Nuno Mendesassist Bradley Barcola51'
  8. Senny Mayuluon55'
  9. Fabiánon55'
  10. João Neveson58'
  11. Nuno Mendeson75'
  12. 75'Berat Djimsition
  13. 75'Yunus Musahon
  14. Khvicha Kvaratskheliaon75'
  15. 85'Giorgio Scalvinion
  16. Gonçalo Ramos90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Paris Saint-GermainAtalanta
  • 67%Possession33%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)1
  • 22Shots7
  • 13Shots on target2
  • 6Corners1
  • 5Fouls11
  • 0Yellow cards1
  • 0Red cards0
  • 3Offsides2
  • 2Saves9
  • 711Passes343

Line-ups

Paris Saint-Germain

  • 5Marquinhos
  • 2Achraf Hakimi
  • 8Fabián
  • 17Vitinha
  • 7Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
  • 25Nuno Mendes
  • 29Bradley Barcola
  • 51Willian Pacho
  • 30Lucas Chevalier
  • 87João Neves
  • 24Senny Mayulu

Atalanta

  • 8Mario Pasalic
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 19Berat Djimsiti
  • 16Raoul Bellanova
  • 3Odilon Kossounou
  • 17Charles De Ketelaere
  • 70Daniel Maldini
  • 6Yunus Musah
  • 29Marco Carnesecchi
  • 4Isak Hien
  • 47Lorenzo Bernasconi

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1596 – 1515

Recent form

Paris Saint-GermainWWWW
AtalantaDW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Paris Saint-Germain host Atalanta in the UEFA Champions League on 17 September 2025. Paris Saint-Germain sit 2nd on 12 points and Atalanta are 10th on 10. Paris Saint-Germain have won 4 of their last 4 (WWWW), while Atalanta have won 1 of 2 (DW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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