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FTMatchday 33

Nottingham Forest vs Burnley: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1492 – 1497

Recent form

Nottingham ForestLDDWD
BurnleyLLDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Nottingham Forest38-344
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Burnley 1–1 Nottingham Forest2025-09-20

Match preview

Nottingham Forest host Burnley in the Premier League on 19 April 2026. Nottingham Forest sit 16th on 44 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Nottingham Forest have won 1 of their last 5 (LDDWD), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (LLDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 0, Burnley won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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