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FTMatchday 5

Newcastle United vs Hull City: Prediction

Newcastle United2
FT
Hull City1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Newcastle UnitedHull City
  1. Joe Willockassist Harvey Barnes3'
  2. Lewis Hallassist Harvey Barnes7'
  3. 29'Matt Crooksyellow card
  4. 39'Mohamed Belloumiyellow card
  5. 45'Konstantinos Tzolakisyellow card

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1487 – 1501

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedLDWDL
Hull CityDWWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Hull City9+111
2Newcastle United8-211

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Newcastle United host Hull City in the Premier League on 19 September 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 11 points and Hull City are 10th on 11. Newcastle United have won 1 of their last 5 (LDWDL), while Hull City have won 2 of 5 (DWWDD). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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