Newcastle United vs Bournemouth: Prediction
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Tipster consensus
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Recent form
Newcastle UnitedDWLDW
BournemouthWDDLD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bournemouth | 9 | +1 | 12 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 1–2 Bournemouth2026-04-18
- Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle United2025-09-21
Match preview
Newcastle United host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 5 September 2026. Newcastle United sit 12th on 11 points and Bournemouth are 7th on 12. Newcastle United have won 2 of their last 5 (DWLDW), while Bournemouth have won 1 of 5 (WDDLD). In their last 2 meetings, Newcastle United won 0, Bournemouth won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
