FTMatchday 1

Newcastle United vs Barcelona: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Newcastle United1

Barcelona2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

3 goals

Newcastle UnitedBarcelona

Joelintonyellow card28'
Dan Burnyellow card45'
45'Gerard Martínyellow card
58'Marcus Rashfordassist Jules Koundé
Harvey Barneson62'
Joelintonon62'
Fabian Schäron63'
Anthony Elangaon63'
67'Marcus Rashford
69'Pau Cubarsíon
70'Robert Lewandowskion
75'Fermínyellow card
Kieran Trippieron76'
81'Gerard Martínon
82'Frenkie de Jongyellow card
82'Marcus Rashfordon
90'Marc Casadóyellow card
90'Fermínon
Anthony Gordonassist Jacob Murphy90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedBarcelona

36%Possession64%
1Expected goals (xG)1
10Shots19
6Shots on target5
6Corners4
11Fouls12
2Yellow cards4
0Red cards0
3Offsides0
3Saves5
282Passes539

Line-ups

Newcastle United

2Kieran Trippier
33Dan Burn
1Nick Pope
5Fabian Schär
11Harvey Barnes
7Joelinton
8Sandro Tonali
10Anthony Gordon
39Bruno Guimarães
20Anthony Elanga
21Valentino Livramento

Barcelona

9Robert Lewandowski
14Marcus Rashford
11Raphinha
23Jules Koundé
21Frenkie de Jong
8Pedri
4Ronald Araújo
13Joan García
18Gerard Martín
16Fermín
5Pau Cubarsí

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1540

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedDLDW

BarcelonaWDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Newcastle United host Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League on 18 September 2025. Newcastle United sit 11th on 9 points and Barcelona are 18th on 7. Newcastle United have won 1 of their last 4 (DLDW), while Barcelona have won 2 of 3 (WDW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.