FTMatchday 4

Newcastle United vs Athletic Bilbao: Prediction

📍 St James Park

Newcastle United2

Athletic Bilbao0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Newcastle UnitedAthletic Bilbao

Dan Burnassist Kieran Trippier11'
Anthony Gordonon41'
Joelintonassist Harvey Barnes49'
57'Aitor Paredesyellow card
Dan Burnon65'
Harvey Barneson65'
Bruno Guimarãeson65'
69'Jesús Aresoyellow card
70'Robert Navarroon
70'Mikel Jauregizaron
78'Jesús Aresoon
78'Unai Gómezon
81'Alejandro Regoon
Nick Woltemadeon83'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Newcastle UnitedAthletic Bilbao

59%Possession41%
1Expected goals (xG)1
8Shots12
4Shots on target5
2Corners5
11Fouls13
0Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
3Offsides0
5Saves2
516Passes358

Line-ups

Newcastle United

2Kieran Trippier
33Dan Burn
1Nick Pope
11Harvey Barnes
7Joelinton
8Sandro Tonali
27Nick Woltemade
10Anthony Gordon
4Sven Botman
39Bruno Guimarães
12Malick Thiaw

Athletic Bilbao

6Mikel Vesga
7Álex Berenguer
1Unai Simón
3Dani Vivian
4Aitor Paredes
23Robert Navarro
12Jesús Areso
20Unai Gómez
18Mikel Jauregizar
19Adama Boiro
30Alejandro Rego

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1529 – 1483

Recent form

Newcastle UnitedLWWWL

Athletic BilbaoWDWLL

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Newcastle United host Athletic Bilbao in the UEFA Champions League on 5 November 2025. Newcastle United sit 11th on 9 points and Athletic Bilbao are 27th on 4. Newcastle United have won 3 of their last 5 (LWWWL), while Athletic Bilbao have won 2 of 5 (WDWLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.