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FTMatchday 4

Napoli vs Bologna: Prediction

Napoli1
FT
Bologna0

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1480 – 1534

Recent form

NapoliWWWLL
BolognaWWDLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli8+714
2Bologna9+214

Head to head

  • Napoli 2–3 Bologna2026-05-11
  • Bologna 2–0 Napoli2025-11-09

Match preview

Napoli host Bologna in the Serie A on 13 September 2026. Napoli sit 6th on 14 points and Bologna are 8th on 14. Napoli have won 3 of their last 5 (WWWLL), while Bologna have won 2 of 5 (WWDLD). In their last 2 meetings, Napoli won 0, Bologna won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming