Manchester United vs Manchester City: Prediction
Not enough past results yet.
Match events
1 goal- 23'Phil Fodenred card
- 45'Phil Fodenyellow card
- 45'⇄Rayan Cherkion
- 60'⚽Erling Haaland
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Manchester UnitedWLWDW
Manchester CityLWWWW| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchester City | 9 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 | Manchester United | 9 | -5 | 7 |
Head to head
- Manchester United 2–0 Manchester City2026-01-17
- Manchester City 3–0 Manchester United2025-09-14
Match preview
Manchester United host Manchester City in the Premier League on 13 September 2026. Manchester United sit 17th on 7 points and Manchester City are 1st on 21. Manchester United have won 3 of their last 5 (WLWDW), while Manchester City have won 4 of 5 (LWWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester United won 1, Manchester City won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
