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FTMatchday 5

Manchester City vs Sunderland: Prediction

Manchester City5
FT
Sunderland3

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

4 goals
Manchester CitySunderland
  1. 8'Dayann Methalieyellow card
  2. Enzo Fernández9'
  3. 12'Brian Brobbeyassist Enzo Le Fée
  4. Rayan Cherkiassist Antoine Semenyo29'
  5. 33'Brian Brobbeyassist Thomas Meunier

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1498

Recent form

Manchester CityWWWWW
SunderlandWLWDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City9+1021
2Sunderland9-105

Head to head

  • Sunderland 0–0 Manchester City2026-01-01
  • Manchester City 3–0 Sunderland2025-12-06

Match preview

Manchester City host Sunderland in the Premier League on 20 September 2026. Manchester City sit 1st on 21 points and Sunderland are 20th on 5. Manchester City have won 5 of their last 5 (WWWWW), while Sunderland have won 2 of 5 (WLWDL). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Sunderland won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming