FTMatchday 1

Manchester City vs Napoli: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City2

Napoli0

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals

Manchester CityNapoli

21'Giovanni Di Lorenzored card
26'Kevin De Bruyneon
52'Matteo Politanoyellow card
55'Matteo Politanoon
Erling Haalandassist Phil Foden56'
Rodrion60'
Jérémy Dokuassist Tijjani Reijnders65'
Jérémy Dokuon69'
71'Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissaon
72'Stanislav Lobotkaon
72'Rasmus Højlundon
Erling Haalandon80'
Joško Gvardiolon80'
Tijjani Reijnderson80'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityNapoli

74%Possession26%
2Expected goals (xG)0
23Shots1
8Shots on target1
9Corners2
3Fouls4
0Yellow cards1
0Red cards1
1Offsides1
1Saves6
805Passes281

Line-ups

Manchester City

20Bernardo Silva
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
3Ruben Dias
47Phil Foden
16Rodri
9Erling Haaland
4Tijjani Reijnders
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
45Abduqodir Khusanov
33Nico O'Reilly

Napoli

21Matteo Politano
11Kevin De Bruyne
68Stanislav Lobotka
99Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa
37Leonardo Spinazzola
8Scott McTominay
22Giovanni Di Lorenzo
32Vanja Milinković-Savić
4Alessandro Buongiorno
19Rasmus Højlund
31Sam Beukema

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1465

Recent form

Manchester CityWLLW

NapoliWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Manchester City host Napoli in the UEFA Champions League on 18 September 2025. Manchester City sit 9th on 10 points and Napoli are 20th on 7. Manchester City have won 2 of their last 4 (WLLW), while Napoli have won 2 of 2 (WW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.