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FTMatchday 1

Manchester City vs Bournemouth: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1482

Recent form

Manchester CityDWWDL
BournemouthDWWDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Manchester City9+1021
2Bournemouth9+112

Head to head

  • Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City2026-05-19
  • Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth2025-11-02

Match preview

Manchester City host Bournemouth in the Premier League on 23 August 2026. Manchester City sit 1st on 21 points and Bournemouth are 7th on 12. Manchester City have won 2 of their last 5 (DWWDL), while Bournemouth have won 2 of 5 (DWWDD). In their last 2 meetings, Manchester City won 1, Bournemouth won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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