FTMatchday 4

Manchester City vs Borussia Dortmund: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Manchester City4

Borussia Dortmund1

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

Manchester CityBorussia Dortmund

15'Daniel Svenssonyellow card
Phil Fodenassist Tijjani Reijnders22'
Erling Haalandassist Jérémy Doku29'
Phil Fodenassist Tijjani Reijnders57'
66'Maximilian Beieron
66'Marcel Sabitzeron
66'Sehrou Guirassyon
66'Ramy Bensebainion
72'Waldemar Antonassist Julian Ryerson
Savinhoyellow card78'
Savinhoon79'
Jérémy Dokuon79'
Tijjani Reijnderson79'
81'Karim Adeyemion
Nico O'Reillyyellow card85'
Erling Haalandon86'
Nico O'Reillyon86'
Rayan Cherki90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityBorussia Dortmund

50%Possession50%
2Expected goals (xG)1
18Shots12
11Shots on target4
4Corners4
11Fouls17
2Yellow cards1
0Red cards0
3Offsides0
3Saves8
478Passes472

Line-ups

Manchester City

5John Stones
25Gianluigi Donnarumma
47Phil Foden
9Erling Haaland
4Tijjani Reijnders
11Jérémy Doku
24Joško Gvardiol
27Matheus Nunes
14Nico González
26Savinho
33Nico O'Reilly

Borussia Dortmund

20Marcel Sabitzer
5Ramy Bensebaini
9Sehrou Guirassy
4Nico Schlotterbeck
26Julian Ryerson
27Karim Adeyemi
1Gregor Kobel
3Waldemar Anton
8Felix Nmecha
24Daniel Svensson
14Maximilian Beier

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1535 – 1538

Recent form

Manchester CityWWLWW

Borussia DortmundDLWWW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Manchester City host Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on 5 November 2025. Manchester City sit 9th on 10 points and Borussia Dortmund are 6th on 10. Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 (WWLWW), while Borussia Dortmund have won 3 of 5 (DLWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.