Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 5

Manchester City vs Bayer Leverkusen: Prediction

📍 Etihad Stadium

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
Manchester CityBayer Leverkusen
  1. 23'Alex Grimaldoassist Christian Kofane
  2. Oscar Bobbon46'
  3. Rayan Aït-Nourion46'
  4. Rico Lewison46'
  5. 54'Patrik Schickassist Ibrahim Maza
  6. 60'Alex Grimaldoyellow card
  7. Omar Marmoushon65'
  8. Abduqodir Khusanovon65'
  9. 77'Christian Kofaneyellow card
  10. 82'Christian Kofaneon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

Manchester CityBayer Leverkusen
  • 55%Possession45%
  • 2Expected goals (xG)1
  • 19Shots7
  • 7Shots on target2
  • 9Corners3
  • 4Fouls8
  • 0Yellow cards2
  • 0Red cards0
  • 1Offsides1
  • 0Saves9
  • 589Passes487

Line-ups

Manchester City

  • 6Nathan Ake
  • 5John Stones
  • 21Rayan Aït-Nouri
  • 4Tijjani Reijnders
  • 1James Trafford
  • 7Omar Marmoush
  • 14Nico González
  • 82Rico Lewis
  • 26Savinho
  • 52Oscar Bobb
  • 45Abduqodir Khusanov

Bayer Leverkusen

  • 20Alex Grimaldo
  • 14Patrik Schick
  • 1Mark Flekken
  • 5Loïc Badé
  • 24Aleix García
  • 10Malik Tillman
  • 44Jeanuël Belocian
  • 4Jarell Quansah
  • 30Ibrahim Maza
  • 19Ernest Poku
  • 35Christian Kofane

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1631 – 1506

Recent form

Manchester CityWWWWL
Bayer LeverkusenLWLWW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Manchester City host Bayer Leverkusen in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2025. Manchester City sit 9th on 10 points and Bayer Leverkusen are 17th on 8. Manchester City have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), while Bayer Leverkusen have won 3 of 5 (LWLWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming