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FTMatchday 4

Liverpool vs Real Madrid: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
LiverpoolReal Madrid
  1. 23'Vinícius Júnioryellow card
  2. 45'Dean Huijsenyellow card
  3. Alexis Mac Allisteryellow card52'
  4. 60'Jude Bellinghamyellow card
  5. Alexis Mac Allisterassist Dominik Szoboszlai61'
  6. 69'Eduardo Camavingaon
  7. Alexis Mac Allisteron79'
  8. Hugo Ekitikéon79'
  9. 81'Arda Güleron
  10. Andrew Robertsonon88'
  11. Florian Wirtzon88'
  12. 90'Álvaro Carrerasyellow card
  13. 90'Federico Valverdeon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolReal Madrid
  • 39%Possession61%
  • 3Expected goals (xG)0
  • 17Shots8
  • 9Shots on target2
  • 4Corners2
  • 16Fouls11
  • 1Yellow cards4
  • 0Red cards0
  • 2Offsides0
  • 2Saves8
  • 332Passes531

Line-ups

Liverpool

  • 11Mohamed Salah
  • 26Andrew Robertson
  • 4Virgil van Dijk
  • 5Ibrahima Konate
  • 10Alexis Mac Allister
  • 38Ryan Gravenberch
  • 8Dominik Szoboszlai
  • 7Florian Wirtz
  • 25Giorgi Mamardashvili
  • 22Hugo Ekitiké
  • 12Conor Bradley

Real Madrid

  • 1Thibaut Courtois
  • 7Vinícius Júnior
  • 10Kylian Mbappé
  • 3Éder Militão
  • 8Federico Valverde
  • 14Aurelien Tchouameni
  • 5Jude Bellingham
  • 6Eduardo Camavinga
  • 15Arda Güler
  • 18Álvaro Carreras
  • 24Dean Huijsen

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1567

Recent form

LiverpoolLWLLW
Real MadridWWWWW
#TeamPGDPts

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Liverpool host Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 4 November 2025. Liverpool sit 13th on 9 points and Real Madrid are 5th on 12. Liverpool have won 2 of their last 5 (LWLLW), while Real Madrid have won 5 of 5 (WWWWW). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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