FTMatchday 1

Liverpool vs Atlético Madrid: Prediction

📍 Anfield

Liverpool3

Atlético Madrid2

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

5 goals

LiverpoolAtlético Madrid

Andrew Robertsonassist Mohamed Salah4'
Mohamed Salahassist Ryan Gravenberch6'
31'Robin Le Normandyellow card
45'Clément Lengletyellow card
45'Marcos Llorenteassist Giacomo Raspadori
53'Giacomo Raspadorion
Cody Gakpoon58'
Alexander Isakon58'
Jeremie Frimpongon58'
61'Conor Gallagheron
61'Antoine Griezmannon
Conor Bradleyyellow card70'
Florian Wirtzon74'
77'Nicolás Gonzálezon
81'Marcos Llorente
Andrew Robertsonon86'
Virgil van Dijkassist Dominik Szoboszlai90'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Match stats

LiverpoolAtlético Madrid

56%Possession44%
3Expected goals (xG)1
20Shots10
6Shots on target4
7Corners6
7Fouls9
1Yellow cards2
0Red cards0
1Offsides2
2Saves3
596Passes463

Line-ups

Liverpool

11Mohamed Salah
26Andrew Robertson
4Virgil van Dijk
9Alexander Isak
1Alisson Becker
5Ibrahima Konate
18Cody Gakpo
38Ryan Gravenberch
8Dominik Szoboszlai
7Florian Wirtz
30Jeremie Frimpong

Atlético Madrid

14Marcos Llorente
13Jan Oblak
7Antoine Griezmann
15Clément Lenglet
21Javi Galán
22Giacomo Raspadori
24Robin Le Normand
4Conor Gallagher
23Nicolás González
8Pablo Barrios
20Giuliano Simeone

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–

Expected goals (model)–

Team rating (Elo)1488 – 1501

Recent form

LiverpoolWWWW

Atlético MadridLDW

#	Team	P	GD	Pts

Head to head

Liverpool 2–1 Atlético Madrid2026-09-09

Match preview

Liverpool host Atlético Madrid in the UEFA Champions League on 17 September 2025. Liverpool sit 13th on 9 points and Atlético Madrid are 12th on 9. Liverpool have won 4 of their last 4 (WWWW), while Atlético Madrid have won 1 of 3 (LDW). In their last 1 meetings, Liverpool won 1, Atlético Madrid won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.