Leeds United vs Newcastle United: Prediction
Leeds United4
Newcastle United1Not enough past results yet.
Match events
3 goals- 19'⇄Nico Gonzálezon
- ⚽Lewis Mileyown goal32'
- ⚽Jayden Bogleassist Dominic Calvert-Lewin34'
- Dominic Calvert-Lewinyellow card44'
- ⚽Dominic Calvert-Lewinassist Tarik Muharemović45'
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
Leeds UnitedWLWDDNewcastle UnitedWLDWD| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leeds United | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 2 | Newcastle United | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Head to head
- Newcastle United 4–3 Leeds United2026-01-07
- Leeds United 0–0 Newcastle United2025-08-30
Match preview
Leeds United host Newcastle United in the Premier League on 14 September 2026. Leeds United sit 11th on 11 points and Newcastle United are 12th on 11. Leeds United have won 2 of their last 5 (WLWDD), while Newcastle United have won 2 of 5 (WLDWD). In their last 2 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Newcastle United won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.
