Skip
EnglishEN ▾
FTMatchday 35

Leeds United vs Burnley: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1497

Recent form

Leeds UnitedDDWWD
BurnleyDLLLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Leeds United38-747
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Burnley 2–0 Leeds United2025-10-18

Match preview

Leeds United host Burnley in the Premier League on 1 May 2026. Leeds United sit 14th on 47 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Leeds United have won 2 of their last 5 (DDWWD), while Burnley have won 0 of 5 (DLLLL). In their last 1 meetings, Leeds United won 0, Burnley won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming