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FTMatchday 38

Lecce vs Genoa: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
LecceGenoa
  1. Lameck Bandaassist Santiago Pierotti6'
  2. Ylber Ramadaniyellow card45'
  3. Oumar Ngomon46'
  4. 60'Aarón Martínon
  5. 60'Stefano Sabellion

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1461

Recent form

LecceDDWLW
GenoaWLDDL
#TeamPGDPts
1Genoa35-938
2Lecce35-2232

Head to head

  • Genoa 0–0 Lecce2025-08-23

Match preview

Lecce host Genoa in the Serie A on 24 May 2026. Lecce sit 17th on 32 points and Genoa are 16th on 38. Lecce have won 2 of their last 5 (DDWLW), while Genoa have won 1 of 5 (WLDDL). In their last 1 meetings, Lecce won 0, Genoa won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

Upcoming