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Kick-off · Matchday 13

Lecce vs Atalanta: Prediction

Lecce
38%Away win
Atalanta

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score1-1
Expected goals (model)1.32 – 1.38
Team rating (Elo)1442 – 1515

Recent form

LecceLLWLL
AtalantaLWLDD
#TeamPGDPts
1Lecce8-59
2Atalanta8-28

Head to head

  • Lecce 0–3 Atalanta2026-04-06
  • Atalanta 4–1 Lecce2025-09-14

Match preview

Lecce host Atalanta in the Serie A on 29 November 2026. Lecce sit 13th on 9 points and Atalanta are 14th on 8. Lecce have won 1 of their last 5 (LLWLL), while Atalanta have won 1 of 5 (LWLDD). In their last 2 meetings, Lecce won 0, Atalanta won 2 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Lecce 36%, the draw 26% and Atalanta 38%, so Atalanta are the slight favourites, with 1-1 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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