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FTMatchday 4

Lazio vs AC Milan: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

2 goals
LazioAC Milan
  1. Matteo Cancellieriassist Mattia Zaccagni10'
  2. Tijjani Noslin39'
  3. 46'Ruben Loftus-Cheekon
  4. 46'Pervis Estupiñánon
  5. 46'Luka Modrićon

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1588 – 1571

Recent form

LazioLLWWW
AC MilanLWLWD
#TeamPGDPts
1Lazio8+1422
2AC Milan9+718

Head to head

  • Lazio 1–0 AC Milan2026-03-15
  • AC Milan 1–0 Lazio2025-11-29

Match preview

Lazio host AC Milan in the Serie A on 12 September 2026. Lazio sit 1st on 22 points and AC Milan are 4th on 18. Lazio have won 3 of their last 5 (LLWWW), while AC Milan have won 2 of 5 (LWLWD). In their last 2 meetings, Lazio won 1, AC Milan won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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