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FTMatchday 3

Inter Milan vs Napoli: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1480

Recent form

Inter MilanWWDDW
NapoliDLWWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milan9+1222
2Napoli8+714

Head to head

  • Inter Milan 2–2 Napoli2026-01-11
  • Napoli 3–1 Inter Milan2025-10-25

Match preview

Inter Milan host Napoli in the Serie A on 5 September 2026. Inter Milan sit 2nd on 22 points and Napoli are 6th on 14. Inter Milan have won 3 of their last 5 (WWDDW), while Napoli have won 3 of 5 (DLWWW). In their last 2 meetings, Inter Milan won 0, Napoli won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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