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Kick-off · Matchday 13

Inter Milan vs Genoa: Prediction

Inter Milan
70%Home win
Genoa

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score2-0
Expected goals (model)2.25 – 0.81
Team rating (Elo)1518 – 1461

Recent form

Inter MilanWWWWL
GenoaLWLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Inter Milan9+1222
2Genoa8-410

Head to head

  • Inter Milan 2–0 Genoa2026-02-28

Match preview

Inter Milan host Genoa in the Serie A on 29 November 2026. Inter Milan sit 2nd on 22 points and Genoa are 12th on 10. Inter Milan have won 4 of their last 5 (WWWWL), while Genoa have won 3 of 5 (LWLWW). In their last 1 meetings, Inter Milan won 1, Genoa won 0 and 0 ended level. TipKhel's model gives Inter Milan 70%, the draw 18% and Genoa 12%, so Inter Milan are the slight favourites, with 2-0 the single most likely score. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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