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FTMatchday 3

Hull City vs Aston Villa: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1502 – 1541

Recent form

Hull CityDWW
Aston VillaDWWLL
#TeamPGDPts
1Aston Villa9-312
2Hull City9+111

Head to head

Not enough past results yet.

Match preview

Hull City host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 5 September 2026. Hull City sit 10th on 11 points and Aston Villa are 9th on 12. Hull City have won 2 of their last 3 (DWW), while Aston Villa have won 2 of 5 (DWWLL). There is no recent head-to-head record between these sides in our data. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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