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FTMatchday 1

Genoa vs Napoli: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1461 – 1480

Recent form

GenoaLDDLL
NapoliWDLWW
#TeamPGDPts
1Napoli8+714
2Genoa8-410

Head to head

  • Genoa 2–3 Napoli2026-02-07
  • Napoli 2–1 Genoa2025-10-05

Match preview

Genoa host Napoli in the Serie A on 22 August 2026. Genoa sit 12th on 10 points and Napoli are 6th on 14. Genoa have won 0 of their last 5 (LDDLL), while Napoli have won 3 of 5 (WDLWW). In their last 2 meetings, Genoa won 0, Napoli won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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