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FTMatchday 37

Genoa vs AC Milan: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Match events

1 goal
GenoaAC Milan
  1. Justin Bijlowyellow card48'
  2. 50'Christopher Nkunkupenalty
  3. Vítor Oliveirayellow card63'
  4. 63'Matteo Gabbiayellow card
  5. Tommaso Baldanzion64'

Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1461 – 1571

Recent form

GenoaWWLDD
AC MilanLWDLL
#TeamPGDPts
1AC Milan35+1563
2Genoa35-938

Head to head

  • AC Milan 1–1 Genoa2026-01-08

Match preview

Genoa host AC Milan in the Serie A on 17 May 2026. Genoa sit 16th on 38 points and AC Milan are 5th on 63. Genoa have won 2 of their last 5 (WWLDD), while AC Milan have won 1 of 5 (LWDLL). In their last 1 meetings, Genoa won 0, AC Milan won 0 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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