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FTMatchday 1

Fulham vs Chelsea: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1524

Recent form

FulhamWLLDW
ChelseaLLDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Chelsea9+416
2Fulham9-29

Head to head

  • Fulham 2–1 Chelsea2026-01-07
  • Chelsea 2–0 Fulham2025-08-30

Match preview

Fulham host Chelsea in the Premier League on 24 August 2026. Fulham sit 15th on 9 points and Chelsea are 4th on 16. Fulham have won 2 of their last 5 (WLLDW), while Chelsea have won 1 of 5 (LLDWL). In their last 2 meetings, Fulham won 1, Chelsea won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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