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FTMatchday 31

Fulham vs Burnley: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1524 – 1497

Recent form

FulhamLWWLD
BurnleyWDLLD
#TeamPGDPts
1Fulham38-452
2Burnley38-3722

Head to head

  • Burnley 2–3 Fulham2025-12-13

Match preview

Fulham host Burnley in the Premier League on 21 March 2026. Fulham sit 11th on 52 points and Burnley are 19th on 22. Fulham have won 2 of their last 5 (LWWLD), while Burnley have won 1 of 5 (WDLLD). In their last 1 meetings, Fulham won 1, Burnley won 0 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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