Fiorentina vs Napoli: Prediction
Fiorentina1
Napoli1Not enough past results yet.
Match events
2 goals- 23'⚽Billy Gilmourassist Matteo Politano
- Franco Mastantuonoyellow card42'
- ⇄Vieryon46'
- ⚽Álex Jiménezassist Cher Ndour51'
- 58'⇄Noa Langon
Events from TheSportsDB. They can lag the live score by a few minutes.
Tipster consensus
0 tracked tipstersNo tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.
Recent form
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | 14 | |
| 2 | 8 | -7 | 5 |
Head to head
- Napoli 2–1 Fiorentina2026-01-31
- Fiorentina 1–3 Napoli2025-09-13
Match preview
Fiorentina host Napoli in the Serie A on 20 September 2026. Fiorentina sit 16th on 5 points and Napoli are 6th on 14. Fiorentina have won 2 of their last 5 (WDLLW), while Napoli have won 3 of 5 (WWLLW). In their last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Napoli won 2 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.
How this is worked out
Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.
Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.