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FTMatchday 38

Fiorentina vs Atalanta: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1464 – 1515

Recent form

FiorentinaDDLDW
AtalantaDLDWL
#TeamPGDPts
1Atalanta35+1454
2Fiorentina35-840

Head to head

  • Fiorentina 2–2 Atalanta2026-10-29
  • Atalanta 2–0 Fiorentina2025-11-30

Match preview

Fiorentina host Atalanta in the Serie A on 22 May 2026. Fiorentina sit 15th on 40 points and Atalanta are 7th on 54. Fiorentina have won 1 of their last 5 (DDLDW), while Atalanta have won 1 of 5 (DLDWL). In their last 2 meetings, Fiorentina won 0, Atalanta won 1 and 1 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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