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FTMatchday 3

Everton vs Manchester United: Prediction

Not enough past results yet.

Tipster consensus

0 tracked tipsters

No tracked tipster has called this match yet. Picks appear here as soon as they are posted.

Most likely score–
Expected goals (model)–
Team rating (Elo)1501 – 1502

Recent form

EvertonDLLWD
Manchester UnitedDWWLW
#TeamPGDPts
1Everton8-110
2Manchester United9-57

Head to head

  • Everton 0–1 Manchester United2026-02-23
  • Manchester United 0–1 Everton2025-11-24

Match preview

Everton host Manchester United in the Premier League on 6 September 2026. Everton sit 14th on 10 points and Manchester United are 17th on 7. Everton have won 1 of their last 5 (DLLWD), while Manchester United have won 3 of 5 (DWWLW). In their last 2 meetings, Everton won 1, Manchester United won 1 and 0 ended level. These are probabilities from past results, not guarantees: football upsets happen every week.

How this is worked out

Each club has an Elo rating that moves after every result (bigger wins move it more, home sides get a small boost). We turn the rating gap into expected goals and use a Poisson model to get win, draw and loss chances. The prediction is locked at kick-off and never edited.

Probabilities, not promises. For analysis and entertainment only. 18+.

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